The digital currency exchange has reached a critical juncture, which is not sensational.
Recently, everyone's attention has been focused on the digital currency market, and many people are confused about this bear market.
However, what happened behind the big bear market?
01. Traffic exhaustion
A feast for speculators dragged the industry into an increasingly cramped alley.
“The top three exchanges in the top three live less than 5,000 people a day, and their traffic has dried up.†An industry veteran who asked not to be named told Lieyun Finance.
"This data is too little, but it is real data. At present, all exchanges are basically machines running. If you don't break through, the industry will be abandoned." The above-mentioned person's tone is full of worry.
"In May, I placed an order on the exchange. As long as the price is not too outrageous, I will sell it in a while. Last week, I deliberately lowered the unit price. To this day, there is still no transaction. So, what is the flow? From the pending order It can be completely judged how long the transaction will take. There are fewer people, and no one can eat an order for a long time." Bian Jun (a pseudonym), a technical staff member of the exchange, told Lieyun Finance.
"After listening to Li Xiaolai's recording, Leek was disappointed. Because this recording can easily make Leek lose their trust." Bian Jun said.
"After listening to Li Xiao's recording, I really don't want to fry coins anymore. I can't wait for Leek to play with the big guys, they are really not ordinary bad." A coin speculator said.
At the moment, the currency circle is the fertile ground for cutting leeks, and it depends on who runs fast. In this real zero-sum game, cutting leeks, running projects, and exploding positions make the leeks desperate.
The currency circle that has lost consensus, the market has plummeted. The slumping market has made the exchange traffic worse.
"Leaving the market in the extra-legal regulatory zone, the dirt of the currency circle will eat its own bitter fruit sooner or later. The currency circle wants to cut leeks, but in the end there is no leeks. This market, this daily activity data, is just self-inflicted." Bian Jun's tone was slightly excited. .
In the currency circle, everyone wants to harvest leeks, leeks also want to harvest other leeks, and even want to harvest Dazhuang. This can be seen from the comments of the WeChat group.
There is a WeChat group for speculating coins, and the group name says "Anti-cut Leek Alliance". When you join the group, you will find that the group will discuss how to harvest the dealer.
"In the big bear market, the leeks will leave the market and stop speculating the coins, or put the coins in their wallets. If the bull market does not come, the exchange website will not open." An old leeks said.
"How is it possible? 5,000 daily livelihoods are impossible." Xiongbing Capital Yi Lihua expressed disbelief about the 5,000 daily livelihood of a certain exchange in the head.
However, for small exchanges, traffic has already dried up. The top exchanges are struggling to break through, while small transactions have died in large numbers.
"Fried coins? Forget it, it hurts to cut the meat. Recently, the leeks don't even read the blockchain news." Said Shaoxia (net name) born in the 90s.
There are no users, how can the exchange still play?
In the currency speculation group, many jokes have been transferred to each other, but the content of the jokes is worth thinking about.
"I just turned off the interface of Binance, Huobi, OKEX, ZB, etc., and I went out of the room and sat at the dining table to have dinner with my family. My parents finally quietly asked me anxiously: My child, are you taking drugs lately? I hesitate After a while, gritted his teeth and said: Yes. The parents finally breathed a sigh of relief and smiled: That's okay, we thought you were speculating coins."
The above jokes are the most popular among all leeks in the past few days. Leek is no longer speculating coins, and exchange users must be inactive. Even for the top exchanges, the number of active users may have fallen.
Recently, several major exchanges have come out to make trouble. The hosting of conferences, live broadcasts, and various cocktail parties have also started, and these frequent actions are worth paying attention to.
If you pay attention, you will find that the people in the market department of the stock exchange are very busy recently, working overtime and screaming for new leeks. However, little effect was achieved in the big bear market.
Come out to yell to attract leeks, there is no way, the exchange has reached a critical moment of life and death. "The people in the marketing department are so busy for traffic." Bian Jun said.
Beginning last night, Ethereum fell off the cliff. This series of events was the result of a concentrated outbreak of many problems. Large exchanges must also consider a sustainable path.
02. The tide of project death accelerates exchange reshuffle
The project party is an important part of the exchange's attraction to users and can bring users and benefits to the exchange. But at the moment, the project team is clearly not living well.
The price of Ethereum plummeted. Some people think that this is because the project side is selling, and now the project side seems to be short of money.
At the beginning, EOS marketing was done well. The project itself had its own large-scale users, and major exchanges were vying for this project, and there was no need to pay the listing fee. Nowadays, there are few projects with large-scale users. What's more worrying is that the capital side is getting smarter and project financing is getting harder and harder.
"A large number of air projects that were financed by deception in the early stage have died. The project party has died. Where does the vitality of the exchange come from?" Bian Jun said.
Incidents such as applications failing to land, currency prices returning to zero, and Zhu Pan running away, all chaos are accelerating to spread to the exchange.
At the moment, the capital side is very cautious. "We are financing, but it is not easy." Bian Jun said.
The capital side is becoming more and more careful about the project. Small exchanges are difficult to raise funds, and so are the project parties.
If the project party has no money, they cannot do marketing to attract users, and the tokens that cannot be listed are worthless.
"As far as the exchange is concerned, there is no project with large-scale users and no new currency to be listed on the exchange. In the future, everyone will have a hard time." Bian Jun sighed.
According to ICOdata.io data, as of the early morning of July 30, the total global ICO financing in July was only 107 million U.S. dollars, a decrease of 92.97% compared with the data in January 2018; it surpassed April and became the worst month of 2018. The data is only one-fifth of the former.
From the financing data, the capital winter of the blockchain has arrived, and perhaps it is the slow bursting of the blockchain industry bubble.
Capital winter? An interviewee didn’t think so, “Capital will never worry about it, but the capital side has become smarter. Generally speaking, the project side cheats at the beginning. There will be no more."
"Finding financing now is not as easy as before. Investors are currently more cautious." An entrepreneur said.
"There are founders who look reliable, and the white paper is particularly good-looking. Whoever thinks he will take the money and run away. Even if most projects do not run away, the projects will break when they are listed on the exchange, and they will continue to fall. This is also very painful. "An investor told Lieyun Finance.
In fact, “everyone in the currency circle is leeks, and none of them can escape the fate of being cut off, and I myself have been cut off many times.†Methodist Capital Xu Chong said in an interview with the media.
An angel investor described the current situation. He said that he rarely sells blockchain projects now. "We did invest in a lot of blockchain projects at the beginning of the year, but we have not looked at this field for two or three months."
With the decline in the market, investors have become more cautious about investment. The cautiousness of capital has caused a large number of projects to survive this cold winter, and batch projects will die.
According to technology blog TechCrunch, as of June 30, 2018, at least 1,000 virtual currency startup projects have been in an unsustainable "death" state, and many investors have lost their money and suffered heavy losses.
"The whole industry is like this, and the life of the exchange will not be easy. The listing of the project party can bring users and income to the exchange. However, now that a large number of projects have died, the exchange will have to reshuffle." Bian Jun told Lieyun Finance.
"In addition, some project parties finished cutting the leeks and scammed the money, so they simply closed the project shamelessly. Why? They have already made the money, so why are they forced to do the project hard? So the project party stopped playing and dumped Ethereum. , The market is like this, the market is not good, and Leek rarely visits the exchange. I really don't know what to do in the future." Bian Jun thought slightly.
03, 86% breaks
To hurt leeks is to hurt the exchange, because leeks are related to the survival of the exchange.
A large-scale break is not a good thing for the exchange, but it is clear that the break also has the "credit" of the exchange.
A report recently released by the Huobi Blockchain Research Institute shows that in July, the number and amount of equity financing in the primary market for global blockchain projects are decreasing; although the number of projects listed on exchanges has increased, the break rate has decreased. On the rise, it has even reached 86.67%.
"Broken coins are basically everywhere. Huobi.com HADAX votes for the currency. The project party must also have the cost of voting for the currency. These costs will eventually have to be paid for." Those who participated in the vote for the currency said. "When a coin can be ranked first in the voting list, the coin is destined to be on the verge of breaking."
Vote for listing brings huge costs to the project parties. Some projects have already exceeded the cost of listing A shares. Such a large fee will naturally have to be paid for. It is not surprising that cutting leeks.
The statistics of Sync Finance on the break is basically consistent with the statistics of Huobi.
According to synchronized financial statistics, 87.5% of the 247 virtual currencies that have landed on major exchanges after 2018 have been in a state of breakage for a long time. This ratio is close to 90%. Less than 3% of those who actually achieved 10 times or more of the income. (Data source: coinmarketcap and synchronized financial database)
The point is that a large number of currency breaks and severe cutting of leeks will eventually push the industry into an unsustainable situation.
When exchanges, project parties, and capital parties come out to yell and attract leeks, no matter how beautiful the story is, it can only be hilarious, "The only possibility is to spit out the profits that have been eaten in and return it to the leeks, and there will be a silver lining." Bian Jun said.
04. Can FCoin really change the exchange?
At first, what the Fcoin model obviously wanted to do was to transform the exchange. Zhang Jian seemed to have a tendency of idealism or perfectionism.
However, it is regrettable that Fcoin walked along and made major mistakes.
The proposal of sponsor institutions, rebate leeks, community governance decentralized exchanges, currency reforms, etc., have great reference significance and thinking value for the reform of the exchange industry.
Just as Fcoin is on the forefront of the road of change, it seems that success is imminent, but it is hidden in the pit. Fcoin has clearly stepped into the pit.
The collapse of FT prices has made this vigorous exchange reform more difficult. The road to currency reform is tortuous.
On August 3, Bizkey, the first public announcement project in the currency reform pilot zone (C board), announced its withdrawal from Fcoin.
On August 4th, QOS was launched for trading as the first currency in the currency reform pilot zone. QOS opened the daily limit on the first day after listing.
The limit was lowered on August 5, and a BUG appeared in the early morning of August 6, QOS/ETH rose and fell more than the limit, and the QOS community was wailing.
As a result, public opinion from the outside world is boiling, and various clarifications are constantly being staged. At the same time, the user experience that the Fcoin exchange should have done, such as login, trading, and recharge, began to deteriorate.
At the same time, Zhang Jian’s wife kept vocalizing on topics such as QOS and Bizkey in the telegram group.
The relationship between Fcoin and QOS, according to Zhang Jian's wife's telegram group, QOS is a "pig teammate". For the Bizkey project, Zhang Jian’s wife thought it was a rubbish project.
Please see the screenshot:
Fcoin and the currency reform, Zhang Jian’s wife’s telegram group said a lot of information. The original text of Zhang Jian’s wife was: "Those vigorous currency reform groups, Zhang Jian has never said anything. These are the same people, and they still ran away. Has Huobi made an expert committee on currency reform (the specific name may be wrong)?..."
Please see the screenshot:
From Zhang Jian's wife's utterance, it can only be said that the amount of information is huge. What's the future of Fcoin, the leader of the exchange reform that has been pinned high? Not yet known.
05, the bubble shows signs of bursting
The dilemma of the exchange seems to be a sign that the blockchain industry bubble is about to burst.
After the second and third-tier exchanges followed the trend and imitated the Fcoin model, they are now basically half-dead, and some have completely stopped breathing.
No one can predict when the currency price will take off in the bear market. However, the bursting of the industry bubble seems to show signs. And some information seems to help people find clues that the bubble is about to burst.
The industry chain of the currency circle: mining, exchanges, project parties, and leeks. The more you are at the top, the more money you make.
From the top of the chain, the three major mining machine manufacturers, Bitmain, Jianan Zhizhi, and Yibang International all applied for IPO. This is reminiscent of the fact that such a profitable mining industry must be financed, and the real situation behind the industry is even more meaningful.
On the morning of Sunday, August 12, foreign media reported that in the Bitmain financial report, the company recorded the digital currency in other liquid assets at the cost price (the market price when the digital currency was received). (Other current asset), and its price fluctuations are not included in the report.
At the end of December 2017, the number of BCH, BTC, LTC, DASH, and ETH held by Bitmain was 841,800, 36,800, 925,000, 312,000, and 747, respectively. As of the end of March 2018, the number of BCH, BTC, LTC, DASH, and ETH held by the company were 1.021 million, 22,000, 930,900, 312,000, and 1,097, respectively.
At the same time, angel investor Xue Manzi made a speech at a conference and the video streamed out, in which he spoke about the bear market, regulation and currency circle model.
Subsequently, a piece of Xue Manzi's remarks on this video came out in the WeChat group. The main point of the remarks is that the blockchain industry bubble is about to burst, and the cruel winter is coming, and many companies will be frozen to death in the winter.
The following is a screenshot of the original text:
Today's Ethereum plummeting may be a manifestation of the bursting of the industry bubble.
06. What should I do?
Recording exposure, Zhu Pan's runaway, investor rights protection, and the market plummeted, all of which made the exchange practitioners feel anxious.
Traffic is exhausted, capital is cautious, Fcoin's reform is blocked, and the industry bubble is about to burst... What should the exchange do when the users are cold?
"Small transactions either struggle to survive or die completely. Big exchanges are also looking for solutions, such as Binance, OKEx, and Huobi are all looking for breakthroughs," said Bian Jun.
On August 10th, OKEx announced that nearly 30 trading pairs will be offline. According to the announcement, according to the "OKEx Rules on Hidden TOKEN and Offline Trading Pairs", some projects meet the criteria for hidden or offline trading pairs, and the platform will implement hidden or offline trading pairs for their projects. According to statistics on trading pairs, Scallion reported that nearly 30 projects were offline.
"The project has begun a major reshuffle, the market is not working, and the flow of large and small exchanges is tight. After the death of the small exchange, the head exchange also began to rescue itself to find a solution. The offline air currency is also the exchange to save itself." Bian Jun said .
In order to seek a breakthrough, the head exchange obviously has more resources and strength to make changes. From the voice of Zhang Jian's wife's telegram group, it can be seen that Huobi seems to be more interested in currency reforms. Some analysts told Lieyun Finance that the currency reform may be a way out to save the current difficulties of the exchange.
Binance seems to be trying its best to launch a decentralized exchange as soon as possible. On August 12, He Keren from the Binance Marketing Department revealed: "It will take half a year as soon as possible, and a year will be slow, and Binance decentralized exchange will come out. "She told Lieyun Finance, "The decentralized exchange just issued a demo two days ago, and it currently runs instructions for listing, issuing, and trading."
Two months ago, two months later, the market has changed astonishingly.
From following the trend and imitating FCoin with confidence to today's exchanges to eliminate the big reshuffle, although the reasons for success or failure are very complicated. However, it has to be said that at this critical moment of the life and death of the exchange, it is particularly important to return to the essence of the exchange, to abandon impetuousness, and to improve the service steadily.
In the entire blockchain industry, although the bubble burst tragically, spring may be ahead.
EV cable, also known as electric vehicle cable, is a type of cable used to connect electric vehicles to charging stations. These cables are designed to handle high voltage and current levels, typically ranging from 240V to 600V and 30A to 80A. EV cables are available in various lengths and connectors to fit different types of charging stations and electric vehicles. They are typically made of high-quality materials that are durable and resistant to wear and tear. EV cables are an essential component of electric vehicle charging infrastructure and are critical for the successful adoption of electric vehicles.
EV Cable,High Tear Resistant Silicone Rubber Cable,New Energy Vehicle Shielded Cable,EV Automotive Cable
Ruitian Cable CO.,LTD. , https://www.rtlinecable.com